Skip to content
PlayMaker

Fantasy football

Not all touchdowns are equal.

PlayMaker hosts fantasy football leagues that weigh every play by how much it swung the win probability.

A touchdown in a blowout earns its stat line. One that flips the game earns up to ×4.4.

The biggest swing of 2026
SEA chance to win, play by playNE at SEA, Q4 11:38
SEA win probability over the game, jumping from 17% to 51% on this play17%51%

11.0 stat points times a 4.4 clutch multiplier: 48.8 PlayMaker points.

clutch multiplier = 1 + swing × 10 = 1 + 0.34 × 10

Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR, SEAD.Lock pass short left to J.Smith-Njigba for 45 yards, TOUCHDOWN.One snap moved SEA’s chance to win from 17% to 51%.

Same touchdown. Different stakes.

Every snap moves a team’s chance to win. PlayMaker multiplies a play’s fantasy points by how far it moved: 1 plus the swing times 10.

Up 24 late in the fourth

The touchdown moves the chance to win by 1 percentage point.

6.0×1.1=6.6

Down 4, 38 seconds left

The touchdown moves the chance to win by 52 percentage points.

6.0×6.2=37.2

Example numbers. The demo league runs the same math on real NFL games, no account needed.

The plays that swung week 8

Ranked by PlayMaker points, 2026 season. Each line is a whole game; the amber stretch is the snap that changed it.

  1. Emmett Johnson39.0 PlayMaker points
    RB, KC at DEN, Q2 7:40

    Chance to win 57% to 75%. 13.8 stat points, counted ×2.8.

  2. Michael Wilson31.6 PlayMaker points
    WR, ARI at DAL, Q4 0:06

    Chance to win 22% to 52%. 7.8 stat points, counted ×4.1.

  3. Jaxon Smith-Njigba30.2 PlayMaker points
    WR, SEA vs CHI, Q2 0:30

    Chance to win 26% to 44%. 10.8 stat points, counted ×2.8.

  4. Wan'Dale Robinson27.0 PlayMaker points
    WR, TEN at CIN, Q4 3:46

    Chance to win 51% to 75%. 8.0 stat points, counted ×3.4.

  5. Geno Smith24.5 PlayMaker points
    QB, NYJ vs LV, Q4 0:20

    Chance to win 2% to 13%. 11.6 stat points, counted ×2.1.

  6. Mike Gesicki23.9 PlayMaker points
    TE, CIN vs TEN, Q4 7:13

    Chance to win 58% to 74%. 9.0 stat points, counted ×2.6.